NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 01, 2024
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Moeller | 9 | 39 | 75.0% | 1 | 29.6 | 1 |
| 2 | Matt Hogel | 8 | 39 | 66.7% | 2 | 28.3 | 4 |
| 2 | Karl Loiseau | 8 | 39 | 66.7% | 2 | 29.3 | 2 |
| 4 | Andrew Batchelor | 7 | 39 | 58.3% | 4 | 28.7 | 3 |
| 4 | Luke Phelan | 7 | 39 | 58.3% | 4 | 26.3 | 5 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 6 | 39 | 50.0% | 6 | 26.2 | 6 |
| 7 | Nick Boucher | 5 | 39 | 41.7% | 7 | 23.6 | 8 |
| 8 | Dan Ellenberger | 4 | 39 | 33.3% | 8 | 20.8 | 10 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 4 | 39 | 33.3% | 8 | 22.7 | 9 |
| 8 | Gavin Gray | 4 | 39 | 33.3% | 8 | 23.9 | 7 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 11.0 | HOU | 0.46 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 9.5 | DAL | |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 9.1 | NYG | |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 11.1 | NYJ | 0.45 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 10.3 | CIN | 0.54 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 7.9 | CAR | 0.64 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 12.3 | NO | 0.72 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 8.5 | JAX | 0.41 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 7.5 | DEN | 0.46 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 9.8 | CLE | 0.54 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 8.8 | TB | 0.61 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 10.1 | ARI | 0.73 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Houston Texans | 3 | 9.7 | BUF | 0.54 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 7.2 | LV | 0.54 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 9.4 | LA | 0.61 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 8.3 | PIT | |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 8.4 | NA | |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 9.5 | KC | 0.28 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 9.3 | ATL | 0.39 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 1 | 8.2 | BAL | 0.46 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 6.1 | WAS | 0.46 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 9.6 | NA | |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 5.4 | NE | 0.43 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 5.8 | SEA | |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| New York Jets | 2 | 9.4 | MIN | 0.55 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 1 | 7.2 | SF | 0.27 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 7.3 | GB | 0.39 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 3 | 10.5 | NA | |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 6.5 | NA | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 5.7 | IND | 0.59 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 2 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Houston Texans | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 2 | 9 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 1 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 16 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 19 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 13 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 15 | 2 | -2 | 16 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 10 | 2 | -1 | 13 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 1 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Draft Results
